Misericordia tabbed to hold off Lebanon Valley by four

Versus projects a 25-21 Misericordia win here, a four-point margin that matches how tightly these two sit in the power rankings, 108th to Lebanon Valley's 110th in Division III. That closeness is the story: records make this look lopsided, with Misericordia sitting at 5-2 and Lebanon Valley at 1-6, but the underlying grades are nearly identical, both teams carrying a B- in power and defense.

Lebanon Valley's season has been defined by extremes. The Flying Dutchmen have swung from a 43-point win to a 32-point loss, and they have scored far more freely at home than on the road this season, a split that matters with this one at Misericordia. Their defense actually ranks 99th in D3, ahead of Misericordia's 105th, even if the offense has been the inconsistent piece.

Misericordia also scores more at home than away, and the Cougars have gone 3-1 in one-score games this season, suggesting they handle close finishes well. That matters if this one plays out near the projected margin. The game counts in the Middle Atlantic standings, with Misericordia's path built on a stronger overall grade and Lebanon Valley looking to use its defensive rank to keep things tight.