D3 · Massachusetts State Collegiate Athletic ConferenceConference game
Framingham State's ratings edge outpaces its slim record lead over Plymouth State
Framingham St#13380%
Plymouth St#17720%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Framingham St 80%, Plymouth St 20% at Framingham St.
Framingham St's win probability against Plymouth St has swung between 67% and 90% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 70% now.
Framingham St's win probability against Plymouth St has swung between 73% and 92% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 75% now.
Framingham St's win probability against Plymouth St has swung between 78% and 94% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 80% now.
A one-game gap in the standings undersells this one. Plymouth State sits at 3-3 and Framingham State at 4-2, but Versus has the Rams 44 spots higher in the Division III ranks, 133rd to 177th, and the grades back that up: Framingham State grades out at C+ overall against a C- for Plymouth State, with the bigger separation showing on offense, a C- to Plymouth State's D.
Both teams got a look at Mass Maritime already this season, and the results split the difference in a way that favors Framingham State. The Rams won by 4 and have not beaten that opponent since 2023, while Plymouth State lost its meeting by 11. Framingham State also carries the No. 2 ranking in the MSCAC into Saturday, while Plymouth State's one notable thread is its streak of avoiding a losing record since 2023, a streak this game could test.
This is a Massachusetts State Collegiate Athletic Conference matchup and it counts in the league standings, with Framingham State hosting as the No. 2 team in the conference. Versus projects the Rams to win 26-12, giving Framingham State an 80 percent chance to improve to 5-2 and keep its conference positioning intact.
Graded within D3, 234 teams
