Coe chases a 10th straight win over Nebraska Wesleyan in ARC play

Coe has not lost to Nebraska Wesleyan since September 2016, and the series stands at nine meetings to zero in the Kohawks' favor. That history lines up with where both programs sit this fall. Coe enters at 5-2 and graded B overall, with a defense graded B that has helped the Kohawks outscore their last five opponents by an average of 11 points while going 4-1 over that stretch.

Nebraska Wesleyan arrives at 1-6 after snapping a 12-game losing streak last week with a 69-48 win over Loras, but the broader trend is rougher: the Prairie Wolves have been outscored by 17 points per game over their last five outings, and all six of their losses this season have come against teams with winning records. Their offense, graded C+, has shown some life, but a defense graded D+ has made it hard to keep games close.

Versus projects Coe to win 40-18, giving Nebraska Wesleyan a 10 percent chance at the upset. This game counts in the American Rivers Conference standings, and with Coe's power rank of 92 well ahead of Nebraska Wesleyan's 160, the model sees little reason to expect the series history to change on Saturday.