Belhaven's home scoring edge outweighs Southern Virginia's record

A 3-3 mark against a 2-4 mark suggests a near-even game, but Versus sees more separation than the records let on. Belhaven sits 129th in Division III, 59 spots clear of Southern Virginia at 188th, and carries a C+ overall grade to the Knights' D+. The power gap runs the same direction, with Belhaven 128th and Southern Virginia 149th.

Southern Virginia's season has swung wildly, from a 36-point rout to a 66-point loss, and the Knights have played far better at home than on the road this year, a split that will not help them away from their own field. Belhaven has shown the same pattern in reverse, scoring much more freely at home than away, which matters with this game on its own turf.

Both offenses grade out as C+ units, with Belhaven's defense rated a touch higher at a C compared to Southern Virginia's C-. This is a USA South Conference game that counts in the standings, and Versus projects Belhaven to win 33-25, giving the Blazers a 67 percent chance of taking it.