Cal Lutheran's series grip over La Verne projected to extend to four straight

Cal Lutheran has won three straight meetings in this series and leads it 15-5 across 20 games since 2007, and Versus has them 49 spots apart in the Division III ranks at No. 123 to La Verne's No. 172. That gap shows up again this week as the Kingsmen are projected to win 32-16, with an 82 percent win probability in a game that counts in the Southern California standings.

Cal Lutheran arrives at 3-3 with a B- power grade built on a B defense and a B- offense, graded ahead of La Verne's C- marks across the board. No one has beaten the Kingsmen by more than 7 points all season, and three of their six games this year have been won by 21 points or more, a sign their floor is higher than their record alone suggests.

La Verne enters at 2-4 with its power rating having slipped in each of the last three weeks, and the Leopards have gone just 1-4 over their last five games. Their offense sits 168th in Division III against Cal Lutheran's 103rd ranked unit, and that disparity lines up with the 16 point margin Versus projects on Saturday.