D3 · New England Women's and Men's Athletic ConferenceConference game
Salve Regina projected to edge MIT by just two points
Salve Regina#8556%
MIT#9244%Wk 8 (Oct 18), 2026-27: Salve Regina 56%, MIT 44% at Salve Regina.
Salve Regina's win probability against MIT is trending down — from 59% to 43% over the last 6 weeks.
Salve Regina's win probability against MIT is trending down — from 65% to 50% over the last 6 weeks.
Salve Regina's win probability against MIT is trending down — from 71% to 56% over the last 6 weeks.
Versus projects a tight finish, with Salve Regina favored 26-24 at home over MIT and given a 56 percent chance to win against the Engineers' 44. A two-point margin in either direction would not be a surprise given how close these two sit in the model.
Both programs carry identical overall grades of B and power grades of B+, and Salve Regina's divisional rank of 85 puts it just seven spots ahead of MIT at 92 among Division III teams. MIT has been the more explosive side lately, winning 3 of its 5 games this season by 21 points or more. Salve Regina has managed its own 3-2 stretch, outscoring opponents by an average of 11 points over that span, and both of its losses have come against teams with winning records.
MIT holds a slightly better strength of schedule rank at 102 compared to Salve Regina's 121, though neither team has faced an especially difficult slate. This is a NEWMAC game and it counts in the conference standings for both the Engineers and the Seahawks.
Graded within D3, 234 teams
