Trine projected to edge Adrian by just three points in MIAA play

Versus has this one about as tight as the MIAA schedule gets, with Trine picked to win 29-26 and holding only a 57 percent chance in the projection. A three-point margin is as close as these two profiles get despite a wide gap in record.

Trine comes in 5-1 with an A overall grade, an A offense and an A- defense, and the Thunder have been running away from people lately, having outscored their last five opponents by a wide average margin while going 4-1 over that stretch. The one soft spot is schedule strength, where Trine sits 105th in Division III even with a power rank of 28th and an offense rank of 25th.

Adrian is 2-4 but has faced the tougher slate, ranking 11th in Division III for strength of schedule against Trine's 105th. The Bulldogs carry an A- defense and a B+ offense, and no opponent has beaten them by more than 11 points all season. Their issue has been finishing close games, sitting 1-3 when decided by one score, which is exactly the kind of game this projects to be.

Trine has won 8 of the last 10 meetings in the series, and this MIAA game counts fully in the conference standings for both sides.