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NAIA · Frontier ConferenceConference game

Eastern Oregon's surge flips a series Southern Oregon has long owned

Southern Oregon#60 NAIA · 2-4Away20
Projected20-42Eastern Oregon 90% chance to win
Eastern Oregon#17 NAIA · 4-1Home42

Southern Oregon still holds the long view of this Frontier Conference series, leading it 18-10 across 28 meetings dating back to 2007, including a 21-7 win in last year's meeting. This week's matchup, which counts in the conference standings, looks nothing like that history suggests.

Eastern Oregon arrives at 4-1, its best start through five games since 2014, and has climbed 29 spots in the Versus NAIA rankings this season alone, from No. 46 to its current No. 17. The Mountaineers have improved their Versus power rating in each of the last six weeks and carry A- grades across the board, including an A- offense and an A- defense, both supported by a 17th-ranked offense and 23rd-ranked defense in NAIA.

Southern Oregon, No. 60 in NAIA at 2-4, has gone the other direction, outscored by an average of 16 points over its last five games while going 1-4 in that stretch. The Raiders do carry a B- grade on offense and have kept things tight recently, with their last three games all decided by 8 points or fewer.

Versus projects Eastern Oregon to win at home 42-20, giving the Mountaineers a 90 percent chance to take this one and push their current form further past the series' old balance.

Southern OregonEastern Oregon
Overall
75 C
92 A-
Power
81 B-
92 A-
Offense
83 B-
92 A-
Defense
79 C+
90 A-

Graded within NAIA, 96 teams