Lyon favored to win at Austin despite trailing in the overall D3 ranks

Versus likes Lyon by 3 points here even though the Scots sit at No. 221 in Division III, eight spots behind Austin at No. 213. The gap closes once the underlying numbers are split out. Lyon's offensive and defensive ranks of 204 each actually sit ahead of Austin's marks of 213 and 216, and that component edge is enough to flip the projection toward the visitors, 28 to 25.

Both teams arrive at 1-4 and have been difficult to watch lately. Lyon has been outscored by an average of 17 points over its last five games, and Austin has been outscored as well across its own five-game skid, with Austin now riding back-to-back losses for the first time since November 2025. Neither program's power rating has been trending in a positive direction, with Lyon's sliding in each of the last three weeks.

Austin still holds a 3-1 edge in the four-game series since 2015, but Lyon took the most recent meeting in November 2025, 40-28, a result that lines up closely with what Versus expects again. The game counts in the Southern Collegiate Athletic Conference standings, and for two teams still searching for their footing this season, it carries real weight beyond the numbers.