Claremont-Mudd-Scripps projected to edge La Verne by a single point

Versus has this one about as even as a projection gets, putting Claremont-Mudd-Scripps ahead 24-23 with a 52 percent chance to win against La Verne's 48. A game this tight usually comes down to which side's defense holds up longer, and both carry a B- defensive grade, so neither side has an edge there heading in.

The separation shows up elsewhere. Claremont-Mudd-Scripps sits 71st in D3 with an overall grade of B+ and a power rank of 110, while La Verne is 153rd in D3 at a C overall and 128th in power. Both schedules have been soft, with Claremont-Mudd-Scripps ranked 144th in strength of schedule and La Verne 162nd, so neither team's 3-1 or 2-2 record has been tested hard yet.

Claremont-Mudd-Scripps arrives with momentum worth noting. The Stags have not finished a season below .500 since 2017, and they just beat Cal Lutheran for the first time since November 2024, a result that has them ranked second in the Southern California Conference. La Verne, meanwhile, has dropped back-to-back games for the first time since November 2025 and will be looking to stop that skid at home.

This is a conference matchup in the Southern California Intercollegiate Athletic Conference, so the result counts in the standings for both sides as they try to pull away from a crowded middle of the table.