Millsaps favored at home, but Centre has played the tougher slate

Strength of schedule, not the power ratings, is the clearest divide between these two Southern Athletic Association teams. Centre carries a strength of schedule rank of 80 in D3, while Millsaps sits at 205, a gap that says more about the paths each team has taken than their 1-3 and 3-1 records do.

Centre is graded a B overall in power with a B+ defense and a B- offense, ranking 64th on that side of the ball in D3 against a 100th-ranked offense of its own. Millsaps counters with a B+ offense ranked 59th and a B defense at 84th, backing a B- overall grade that has produced the better record so far this season.

Millsaps arrives on a run that has it outscoring its last four opponents by an average of 27 points, and its 3-1 start is its best through four games since 2019. Centre has been steadier than flashy, with no loss this season by more than 17 points.

Versus projects Millsaps to win at home 27-23, a 4-point margin with the Majors favored at 60 percent. The result would buck recent history, since Centre has won five straight in the series and nine of the last ten meetings overall. The game counts in Southern Athletic Association standings for both teams.