Stevenson's hot streak meets Lebanon Valley's brutal schedule

The widest gap between these two Middle Atlantic Conference teams isn't in the standings, it's in who they've had to play. Lebanon Valley carries a strength of schedule rank of 27 in Division III, while Stevenson sits at 179, a difference that makes Stevenson's 3-1 record look softer than it reads and Lebanon Valley's 0-4 mark look harder-earned than it reads.

Stevenson comes in playing its best football of the year, having outscored its last four opponents on the way to that 3-1 mark and posting its most lopsided win since September 2025 in a 42-14 decision over FDU-Florham. The Mustangs grade out as a B overall with a B defense and a B- offense, and Versus has them 87 spots ahead of Lebanon Valley at No. 93 to No. 180 in Division III.

Lebanon Valley has gone the other direction, with its power rating sliding in each of the last six weeks and a four-game losing streak during which it has been outscored by an average of 15 points per game. The Flying Dutchmen still grade out respectably on defense at C+, but a C- offense and a four-game skid make it hard to see where the win comes from.

This one counts in the Middle Atlantic Conference standings, and Versus projects Stevenson to win 26-19, a seven-point margin that lines up with the gap in recent form between the two sides.