Hobart's ratings tower over Union NY despite matching 2-3 marks

Both teams arrive at 2-3, a record that suggests an even Liberty League meeting. The ratings say otherwise. Hobart sits 75th in Division III with a power rank of 48, an A- grade on both sides of the ball, and a strength of schedule rank of 14 that shows those losses came against stiff competition, all three to teams with winning records. Union NY, by contrast, ranks 128th with a power rank of 126 and offensive and defensive grades of C+.

Versus projects Hobart to win 37-14, a 23-point margin that reflects how far apart these two profiles actually are once the identical records are set aside. Hobart has also pulled off a notable upset this season, beating a Brockport St team ranked 30 spots ahead of it, evidence the Statesmen can play above their own number when needed.

This one counts in the Liberty League standings, and home history favors the host further. Hobart has won 14 of its last 17 games at home, a trend the model's lopsided projection leans on as much as the season-long ranks.

Union NY's offense and defense grade out even with each other at C+, a balanced but modest profile that gives it little room to close a gap this wide. The numbers suggest the final score may track closer to Hobart's season-long form than to the shared record at kickoff.