D3 · LandmarkConference game
Lycoming projected to edge Wilkes by four in Landmark matchup
Lycoming#11159%
Wilkes#9541%Wk 6 (Oct 4), 2026-27: Lycoming 59%, Wilkes 41% at Wilkes.
Lycoming's win probability against Wilkes is trending up — from 27% to 59% over the last 6 updates.
Lycoming's win probability against Wilkes is trending up — from 33% to 65% over the last 6 updates.
Lycoming's win probability against Wilkes is trending up — from 39% to 71% over the last 6 updates.
Versus projects a 26-22 final between Lycoming and Wilkes, giving the Warriors a 59 percent win probability and a four-point margin in a game that counts in the Landmark Conference standings. That is a tight read on paper, and the rankings back it up: Wilkes sits 95th in Division III, 16 spots ahead of Lycoming at 111th, even though Lycoming carries the better power grade at B+ to Wilkes's B.
Lycoming's defense, graded B+ with a rank of 66th, has not allowed a loss by more than 19 points all season, and each of its three defeats has come against a team with a winning record, suggesting the 2-3 mark understates the Warriors. Their offense, graded B, gives them scoring punch to pair with that defense.
Wilkes counters with a B grade on defense and sits as the No. 2 team in the Landmark Conference by Versus's reckoning, having not finished a season below .500 since 2023. The Colonels' offense is the softer spot here, graded B- with a rank of 105th, and that gap looks like the difference in a projection this close.
Graded within D3, 234 teams