NAIA · Appalachian Athletic ConferenceConference game
Point U. favored over Union KY in a winless conference test
Point U.#9063%
Union KY#8637%Wk 6 (Oct 4), 2026-27: Point U. 63%, Union KY 37% at Point U..
Point U.'s win probability against Union KY has swung between 45% and 56% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 51% now.
Point U.'s win probability against Union KY has swung between 51% and 62% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 57% now.
Point U.'s win probability against Union KY has swung between 57% and 68% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 63% now.
Point U. holds the series lead over Union KY, 5-4 in nine meetings since 2017, and that history frames a game that counts in the Appalachian Athletic Conference standings. Both programs arrive winless, Union KY at 0-5 and Point U. at 0-4, with Versus placing Union KY 86th in NAIA, four spots ahead of Point U. at 90th.
Neither team's recent form offers much encouragement. Union KY has lost its last five games by wide margins and its power rating has slipped in each of the last three weeks. Point U. has dropped four in a row and been outscored badly over that stretch, with its own power rating sliding for six straight weeks now.
Versus grades both offenses and defenses in the D range, with Union KY carrying a D in offense and defense and Point U. a D in offense but a D+ in defense. Union KY holds a stronger strength of schedule rank at 28th compared to Point U.'s 61st. Still, the model favors the Skyhawks at home, projecting a 29-24 result and giving Point U. a 63 percent chance to win, against 37 percent for Union KY.
Graded within NAIA, 96 teams