Merchant Marine projected to hold off MIT by four points

Versus projects a 29-25 finish in this New England Women's and Men's Athletic Conference game, with Merchant Marine favored by four points and carrying a 59 percent win probability over MIT.

The Mariners bring an A- overall grade and an A offense, ranked 27th in D3, into a game where their defense sits 49th. Merchant Marine has won six straight games and has improved its Versus power rating in each of the last five weeks, part of a run that includes 11 consecutive winning seasons.

MIT counters with an A- power grade and an A- defense of its own, ranked 51st in D3, though its offense checks in at 58th. The Engineers arrive off a 13-19 loss to Springfield that snapped a six-game winning streak, a reminder that Versus still gives them a real 41 percent chance to flip this one at home.

History favors the Mariners, who lead the series 6-2 in eight meetings since 2017 and have won six straight in the matchup, with MIT's last win in the series dating to October 2019.