Series edge and schedule strength put Prairie View A&M ahead of Grambling State

Prairie View A&M has controlled this series over time, winning 11 of 19 meetings since 2007 and taking 7 of the last 10 against Grambling State, and Versus expects that trend to continue on Saturday. The model has Prairie View A&M as a 10 point favorite, projecting a 34-24 result and giving the Panthers a 71 percent chance to win this Southwestern Athletic Conference game.

The records tell an odd story on their own. Grambling State comes in at 2-1 with a C offense and a D+ defense, but its schedule ranks 122nd in FCS, the softest mark between these two teams. Prairie View A&M sits at 1-3, yet carries a B grade across the board on offense, defense and power, and its schedule has ranked 12th toughest in the division. Versus lists the Panthers 60th in FCS, 16 spots ahead of Grambling State's 76th ranking.

Prairie View A&M has not had things easy lately, having gone 1-3 over its last four games while being outscored on average in that stretch, and its most recent defeat was its first home loss of the season after opening 1-0 at home. Still, with a favorable projection and a division ranking well clear of Grambling State's, Prairie View A&M enters as the team Versus expects to turn the tide.