Richmond's overall grade outweighs Georgetown DC's tougher schedule

Strength of schedule is where these two Patriot League clubs really diverge. Georgetown DC's slate ranks 11th among FCS teams, a notably difficult one for a team sitting 95th overall in the division, while Richmond's 57th ranked schedule is far more middling for a team that sits 27th in FCS. That gap says more about this game than the win-loss column does.

Richmond carries an A- overall grade into the conference matchup, built on a C+ offense and a C+ defense that have been good enough to produce a 2-1 record. Georgetown DC is 0-1 and graded C- overall, with a D+ offense and D+ defense that rank 103rd and 104th in FCS respectively. The Hoyas have also dropped back-to-back games for the first time since November of last year, a stretch this trip to Richmond will either end or extend.

Richmond has not finished a season below .500 since 2019 and has posted a winning record in seven straight seasons, even after a first loss to an unranked opponent last week. Versus projects a 32-21 Richmond win, giving the Spiders a 74 percent chance to take this Patriot League conference game.