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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 10 (Nov 1), 2026-27: Richmond 63%, Georgetown DC 37% at Richmond.
Richmond's win probability against Georgetown DC has swung between 45% and 61% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 51% now.
Richmond's win probability against Georgetown DC has swung between 51% and 67% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 57% now.
Richmond's win probability against Georgetown DC has swung between 57% and 73% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 63% now.