Southeastern FL's series history with Ave Maria points to another win

Southeastern FL has owned this series since it entered the Versus database, leading 9-3 in 12 meetings dating to 2014 and winning eight of the last ten. Ave Maria has not beaten the Fire since October 2021, and Southeastern FL arrives on a three-game winning streak in the matchup. That history lines up with where Versus has both teams now.

Southeastern FL carries a 7-2 record and an A- grade across the board, ranked 23rd in power, 24th in offense and 21st in defense among NAIA teams, though its strength of schedule sits at 59th. The Fire have reached No. 11 in NAIA this season, their best mark since 2024, and have won five of their nine games by 21 points or more, a sign of how often they have pulled away once ahead.

Ave Maria is 5-4 with a B overall grade and a tougher schedule by rank, 26th in the Sun Conference profile, with all four of its losses coming against teams with winning records. The Gyrenes also just won at Florida Memorial for the first time since November 2022, showing some capacity to beat quality opponents on the road.

Versus projects Southeastern FL to win 31-17, giving the Fire a 79 percent chance in a game that counts in the Sun Conference standings.