D3 · Middle Atlantic ConferenceConference game
Eastern U. carries series history and a deeper defense into Mustangs test
Eastern U.#7079%
Stevenson#10521%Wk 10 (Nov 1), 2026-27: Eastern U. 79%, Stevenson 21% at Eastern U..
Eastern U.'s win probability against Stevenson has swung between 65% and 84% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 69% now.
Eastern U.'s win probability against Stevenson has swung between 71% and 87% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 74% now.
Eastern U.'s win probability against Stevenson has swung between 76% and 90% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 79% now.
Eastern University holds a 2-1 edge over Stevenson in three meetings since 2023, and this week's rematch inside the Middle Atlantic Conference offers a fresh data point. Both programs faced Lebanon Valley this season, with Stevenson winning by 3 and Eastern winning by 32, a gap that lines up with where Versus has each team ranked in Division III.
Eastern sits 70th overall, 35 spots ahead of Stevenson at 105th, and carries a B+ overall grade built on an A- defense ranked 51st. Stevenson's B- marks across offense, defense and overall reflect a more even profile, with an offensive rank of 105th and a defensive rank of 100th.
Stevenson arrives with real momentum of its own. The Mustangs are 3-1 in one-score games and have outscored their last five opponents by an average of 11 points while going 4-1 over that stretch. Eastern, meanwhile, carries the highest Versus rating in the Middle Atlantic Conference and has not finished a season below .500 since 2023.
Versus projects Eastern to win 30-16, giving the Eagles a 79 percent chance at home and a 14-point margin, with the conference standings on the line for both 6-2 clubs.
Graded within D3, 234 teams
