Texas State projected to keep perfect record alive past UTSA

Versus projects Texas State to win this non-conference game 80-71, giving the Bobcats a 73 percent chance against UT San Antonio and a nine-point margin that reflects how differently these two seasons have started.

Texas State is 4-0 and has won four straight, grading out at B+ across the board and climbing 89 spots since the preseason ratings, by far the largest jump of the two teams. Its most recent win, an 85-65 decision over Southern Miss, was the Bobcats' most lopsided victory since December 2024.

UT San Antonio has also moved up, 63 spots since the preseason, and sits at 2-1 with two straight wins of its own, graded C across most categories. The Roadrunners' best result came against Seattle, a team ranked 67 spots ahead of them, and it snapped a stretch going back to January 2013 without a win over that opponent.

Texas State leads the series 11-10 in 21 meetings since 2007, and the Bobcats also won the most recent meeting in November 2025, 80-69. Versus has Texas State 178 spots ahead of UT San Antonio in its overall ranking, the widest gap of any measure in this matchup.