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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 2 (Nov 14), 2026-27: Texas St 73%, UT San Antonio 27% at UT San Antonio.
Texas St's win probability against UT San Antonio has swung between 59% and 92% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 73% now.
Texas St's win probability against UT San Antonio has swung between 65% and 94% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 79% now.
Texas St's win probability against UT San Antonio has swung between 71% and 96% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 83% now.