Louisville carries series edge and a road favorite's tag into Memphis

This non-conference meeting brings together two programs with history, and Louisville has owned it lately, leading the series 4-2 in six meetings since 2011. The Cardinals delivered the most recent result too, a 99-73 win over Memphis in December 2025. Versus expects a similar outcome this time, projecting Louisville to win on the road 86-77 with a 73 percent chance of taking it.

The ratings back that lean. Louisville sits 23 spots ahead of Memphis in the Division I rankings, No. 30 to No. 53, and carries an A overall grade built on an A+ power grade and A marks on both sides of the ball. Louisville enters on a two-game winning streak and has posted a winning record in three straight seasons, a run that continued with its most lopsided win since November 2025, a 107-57 rout of Morehead State.

Memphis counters with an A- overall grade of its own, the highest Versus rating anywhere in the AAC, though it is clearly offense-driven, an A offense ranked 47th paired with a B- defense ranked 164th. The Tigers have climbed 87 places since the preseason after opening 2-1, including a loss at Vanderbilt in their last outing, and they have played the tougher schedule by far, ranking 10th in strength of schedule against Louisville's 322nd.