Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
UNC Wilmington
Winthrop
|
62
D-
|
Overall |
68
D+
|
|
64
D
|
Power |
66
D
|
|
65
D
6099
|
Offensive |
72
C-
6099
|
|
UNC Wilmington
6099
Winthrop
6099
|
||
|
65
D
6099
|
Defensive |
63
D-
6099
|
|
UNC Wilmington
6099
Winthrop
6099
|
||
|
65
D
|
SoS (Current) |
63
D-
|
|
65
D
|
SoS (Future) |
63
D-
|
UNC Wilmington
Winthrop
| 342 | Overall | 290 |
| 324 | Power | 310 |
| 315 | Offensive | 251 |
| 321 | Defensive | 333 |
| 315 | SoS (Current) | 334 |
| 315 | SoS (Future) | 334 |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Winthrop 67%, UNC Wilmington 33% at Winthrop.
Winthrop's win probability against UNC Wilmington has held at 49% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Winthrop's win probability against UNC Wilmington has held at 59% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Winthrop's win probability against UNC Wilmington has held at 67% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At UNC Wilmington | Neutral | At Winthrop |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 24% | 32% | 41% |
| Wk 1 | 22% | 29% | 38% |
| Wk 2 | 25% | 33% | 41% |
| Wk 3 | 42% | 51% | 61% |
| Wk 4 | 48% | 58% | 67% |
| Wk 5 | 45% | 54% | 63% |
| Wk 6 | 55% | 64% | 72% |
| Wk 7 | 64% | 72% | 79% |
| Wk 8 | 53% | 62% | 70% |
| Wk 9 | 56% | 65% | 73% |
| Wk 10 | 50% | 59% | 68% |
| Wk 11 | 48% | 57% | 66% |
| Wk 12 | 46% | 55% | 64% |
| Wk 13 | 47% | 57% | 66% |
| Wk 14 | 51% | 60% | 69% |
| Wk 15 | 50% | 59% | 68% |
| Wk 16 | 48% | 58% | 66% |
| Wk 17 | 45% | 55% | 64% |
| Wk 18 | 50% | 59% | 68% |
| Wk 19 | 51% | 60% | 69% |
| Wk 20 | 50% | 59% | 68% |
| Wk 21 | 49% | 59% | 67% |
| Wk 22 | 49% | 59% | 67% |
| Wk 23 | 49% | 59% | 68% |
| Wk 24 | 49% | 59% | 67% |
UNC Wilmington
Winthrop
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
6-24 (20%) |
Overall |
12-17 (41.4%) |
|
4-8 (33.3%) |
Home |
5-5 (50%) |
|
1-15 (6.3%) |
Away |
5-10 (33.3%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
0-15 (0%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
1-10 (9.1%) |
|
6-9 (40%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
11-7 (61.1%) |
|
2-8 (20%) |
Last 10 Games |
4-6 (40%) |
UNC Wilmington
Winthrop
| #284 NC A&T | Best Win | #198 Longwood |
| #317 Hampton | Worst Loss | #345 Chicago St |
| 20 pts vs #360 Presbyterian | Largest MOV | 32 pts vs #360 Presbyterian |
| 50 pts vs #15 North Carolina | Largest MOD | 72 pts vs #46 Tennessee |
UNC Wilmington
Winthrop
| 58.1 | Points per Game | 64 |
| 68.9 | Points Against | 70.1 |
| 57.6 | Home PPG | 66.9 |
| 64.3 | Home PA | 63.8 |
| 58.8 | Away PPG | 61.5 |
| 73.3 | Away PA | 74.7 |
| 428-467 | Opponent Record | 389-488 |
| 229.5 | Avg Opponent Rank | 238 |
| L 10 | Longest Streak | L 4 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
UNC Wilmington
Winthrop
| Mar 12 | Monmouth NJ (18-12) | L61-72 | Mar 7 | High Point (25-6) | L63-79 |
| Mar 11 | Northeastern (7-22) | W51-50 | Mar 5 | Gardner Webb (12-19) | W64-52 |
| Mar 7 | at Elon (15-16) | L54-66 | Feb 28 | at Charleston So (7-22) | W77-55 |
| Mar 5 | at NC A&T (8-18) | L46-55 | Feb 25 | vs UNC Asheville (9-18) | L59-64 |
| Mar 1 | vs William & Mary (16-14) | L41-60 | Feb 18 | at Presbyterian (1-27) | W72-59 |
| Feb 22 | at Hofstra (10-22) | L43-75 | Feb 14 | vs Longwood (18-10) | W75-65 |
| Feb 20 | at Stony Brook (15-15) | L55-60 | Feb 11 | vs SC Upstate (9-20) | L58-67 |
| Feb 15 | vs Campbell (18-12) | L52-54 | Feb 7 | at Gardner Webb (12-19) | L69-72 |
| Feb 13 | vs NC A&T (8-18) | W69-64 | Feb 4 | vs High Point (25-6) | L74-88 |
| Feb 6 | at Col Charleston (25-6) | L61-81 | Jan 31 | at Radford (21-13) | L57-61 |
vs
Women's College Basketball