North Carolina at Wake Forest Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
North Carolina by 22.21
TOTAL POINTS
130
UPDATED
Tuesday, April 7, 2026
RATINGS
Wake Forest
North Carolina 
|
81
B-
|
Overall |
97
A+
|
|
86
B
|
Power |
97
A+
|
|
84
B
|
Offensive |
96
A
|
|
84
B
|
Defensive |
98
A+
|
|
89
B+
|
SoS (Current) |
93
A-
|
|
89
B+
|
SoS (Future) |
93
A-
|
RANKINGS
Wake Forest
North Carolina
| 171 | Overall | 15 |
| 120 | Power | 19 |
| 136 | Offensive | 31 |
| 136 | Defensive | 11 |
| 93 | SoS (Current) | 58 |
| 93 | SoS (Future) | 58 |
North Carolina#1595%
Wake Forest#1715%Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: North Carolina 95%, Wake Forest 5% at Wake Forest.
North Carolina's win probability against Wake Forest has held at 95% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
North Carolina's win probability against Wake Forest has held at 97% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
North Carolina's win probability against Wake Forest has held at 98% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
North Carolina favored
Wake Forest favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Wake Forest | Neutral | At North Carolina |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 90% | 94% | 96% |
| Wk 1 | 94% | 96% | 97% |
| Wk 2 | 95% | 96% | 98% |
| Wk 3 | 98% | 98% | 99% |
| Wk 4 | 97% | 98% | 99% |
| Wk 5 | 97% | 98% | 98% |
| Wk 6 | 98% | 98% | 99% |
| Wk 7 | 97% | 98% | 98% |
| Wk 8 | 96% | 97% | 98% |
| Wk 9 | 95% | 97% | 98% |
| Wk 10 | 94% | 96% | 98% |
| Wk 11 | 94% | 96% | 97% |
| Wk 12 | 92% | 95% | 97% |
| Wk 13 | 93% | 95% | 97% |
| Wk 14 | 92% | 95% | 96% |
| Wk 15 | 93% | 95% | 97% |
| Wk 16 | 94% | 96% | 97% |
| Wk 17 | 94% | 96% | 97% |
| Wk 18 | 93% | 95% | 97% |
| Wk 19 | 94% | 96% | 97% |
| Wk 20 | 94% | 96% | 97% |
| Wk 21 | 95% | 97% | 98% |
| Wk 22 | 95% | 97% | 98% |
| Wk 23 | 95% | 97% | 98% |
| Wk 24 | 95% | 97% | 98% |
RECORDS
Wake Forest
North Carolina
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
14-18 (43.8%) |
Overall |
28-8 (77.8%) |
|
8-11 (42.1%) |
Home |
15-2 (88.2%) |
|
3-6 (33.3%) |
Away |
8-3 (72.7%) |
|
0-4 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
2-7 (22.2%) |
|
3-16 (15.8%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
15-8 (65.2%) |
|
11-2 (84.6%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
13-0 (100%) |
|
2-8 (20%) |
Last 10 Games |
7-3 (70%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Wake Forest
North Carolina
| #100 Georgia Tech | Best Win | #9 Duke |
| #210 William & Mary | Worst Loss | #62 Stanford |
| 58 pts vs #346 Morgan St | Largest MOV | 52 pts vs #197 SMU |
| 36 pts vs #9 Duke | Largest MOD | 23 pts vs #17 Notre Dame |
OTHER STATISTICS
Wake Forest
North Carolina
| 65.2 | Points per Game | 74.6 |
| 66.3 | Points Against | 59.1 |
| 66.5 | Home PPG | 78.1 |
| 68.4 | Home PA | 55.2 |
| 61.8 | Away PPG | 71.5 |
| 67.8 | Away PA | 60.2 |
| 518-513 | Opponent Record | 710-475 |
| 149.9 | Avg Opponent Rank | 113.5 |
| W 9 | Longest Streak | W 8 |
| L 4 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Wake Forest
North Carolina
| Mar 19 | vs MD E Shore (18-15) | L48-59 | Mar 27 | #4 Connecticut (38-1) | L42-63 |
| Mar 4 | California (21-15) | L52-75 | Mar 22 | vs #19 Maryland (24-9) | W74-66 |
| Mar 1 | vs Florida St (10-21) | L74-77 | Mar 20 | vs W Illinois (23-6) | W82-51 |
| Feb 26 | at NC State (21-11) | L56-65 | Mar 7 | #14 Louisville (29-8) | L57-65 |
| Feb 22 | at Boston College (5-26) | W79-65 | Mar 6 | Virginia Tech (23-10) | W85-68 |
| Feb 19 | vs #17 Notre Dame (25-11) | L54-78 | Mar 1 | vs #9 Duke (27-9) | W74-69 |
| Feb 12 | at #14 Louisville (29-8) | L67-86 | Feb 26 | at Virginia (22-12) | W82-70 |
| Feb 8 | vs #15 North Carolina (28-8) | L56-84 | Feb 22 | vs Pittsburgh (8-22) | W78-50 |
| Feb 5 | at SMU (9-21) | W70-65 | Feb 19 | at Virginia Tech (23-10) | W66-63 |
| Feb 1 | at #9 Duke (27-9) | L44-80 | Feb 15 | at #9 Duke (27-9) | L68-72 |
