UMBC at Vermont Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Vermont by 12.5
TOTAL POINTS
112
UPDATED
Tuesday, April 7, 2026
RATINGS
UMBC
Vermont 
|
79
C+
|
Overall |
89
B+
|
|
77
C+
|
Power |
88
B+
|
|
72
C-
|
Offensive |
78
C+
|
|
85
B
|
Defensive |
95
A
|
|
76
C
|
SoS (Current) |
74
C
|
|
76
C
|
SoS (Future) |
74
C
|
RANKINGS
UMBC
Vermont
| 186 | Overall | 97 |
| 201 | Power | 103 |
| 253 | Offensive | 199 |
| 135 | Defensive | 42 |
| 212 | SoS (Current) | 235 |
| 212 | SoS (Future) | 235 |
Vermont#9783%
UMBC#18617%Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Vermont 83%, UMBC 17% at Vermont.
Vermont's win probability against UMBC has held at 69% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Vermont's win probability against UMBC has held at 77% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Vermont's win probability against UMBC has held at 83% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Vermont favored
UMBC favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At UMBC | Neutral | At Vermont |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 89% | 92% | 95% |
| Wk 1 | 82% | 87% | 91% |
| Wk 2 | 62% | 71% | 78% |
| Wk 3 | 70% | 77% | 84% |
| Wk 4 | 69% | 77% | 83% |
| Wk 5 | 74% | 81% | 86% |
| Wk 6 | 69% | 77% | 83% |
| Wk 7 | 74% | 81% | 86% |
| Wk 8 | 69% | 77% | 83% |
| Wk 9 | 75% | 81% | 87% |
| Wk 10 | 76% | 82% | 88% |
| Wk 11 | 74% | 81% | 86% |
| Wk 12 | 70% | 78% | 84% |
| Wk 13 | 72% | 79% | 85% |
| Wk 14 | 73% | 80% | 86% |
| Wk 15 | 73% | 80% | 86% |
| Wk 16 | 71% | 78% | 85% |
| Wk 17 | 71% | 78% | 84% |
| Wk 18 | 69% | 77% | 83% |
| Wk 19 | 70% | 78% | 84% |
| Wk 20 | 70% | 77% | 84% |
| Wk 21 | 69% | 77% | 83% |
| Wk 22 | 70% | 77% | 84% |
| Wk 23 | 69% | 77% | 83% |
| Wk 24 | 69% | 77% | 83% |
RECORDS
UMBC
Vermont
|
1-2 (33.3%) |
Head to Head |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
15-15 (50%) |
Overall |
25-8 (75.8%) |
|
6-6 (50%) |
Home |
12-2 (85.7%) |
|
8-9 (47.1%) |
Away |
12-5 (70.6%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-2 (0%) |
|
8-12 (40%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
13-8 (61.9%) |
|
7-3 (70%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
12-0 (100%) |
|
6-4 (60%) |
Last 10 Games |
8-2 (80%) |
SUPERLATIVES
UMBC
Vermont
| #44 Virginia | Best Win | #91 Santa Clara |
| #320 American Univ | Worst Loss | #186 UMBC |
| 23 pts vs #334 MA Lowell | Largest MOV | 37 pts vs #363 Central Conn |
| 33 pts vs #19 Maryland | Largest MOD | 32 pts vs #24 Washington |
OTHER STATISTICS
UMBC
Vermont
| 60 | Points per Game | 62.6 |
| 59.9 | Points Against | 52.9 |
| 59.9 | Home PPG | 63.2 |
| 57.9 | Home PA | 50.3 |
| 59.6 | Away PPG | 62.6 |
| 62.1 | Away PA | 54.9 |
| 473-442 | Opponent Record | 508-488 |
| 195.5 | Avg Opponent Rank | 201 |
| W 5 | Longest Streak | W 6 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
UMBC
Vermont
| Mar 23 | at Marshall (27-9) | L53-66 | Mar 21 | at #14 Louisville (29-8) | L52-72 |
| Mar 19 | at Ohio (17-14) | W62-58 | Mar 13 | vs Maine (19-13) | W61-43 |
| Mar 9 | at Vermont (25-8) | L65-68 | Mar 9 | vs UMBC (15-15) | W68-65 |
| Mar 5 | vs NJIT (19-13) | W66-65 | Mar 5 | vs SUNY Albany (13-16) | W55-40 |
| Feb 28 | vs MA Lowell (5-21) | W66-43 | Feb 26 | at MA Lowell (5-21) | W68-37 |
| Feb 26 | at Bryant (16-12) | W65-59 | Feb 21 | vs NJIT (19-13) | W67-37 |
| Feb 21 | at SUNY Albany (13-16) | L63-69 | Feb 19 | vs UMBC (15-15) | L44-46 |
| Feb 19 | at Vermont (25-8) | W46-44 | Feb 14 | at Bryant (16-12) | W52-45 |
| Feb 14 | vs New Hampshire (8-20) | W61-44 | Feb 12 | vs Binghamton (18-13) | W61-52 |
| Feb 12 | vs Maine (19-13) | L55-56 | Feb 7 | at New Hampshire (8-20) | W60-35 |
