Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Towson
UMBC
|
77
C+
|
Overall |
79
C+
|
|
74
C
|
Power |
77
C+
|
|
81
B-
6099
|
Offensive |
72
C-
6099
|
|
Towson
6099
UMBC
6099
|
||
|
67
D+
6099
|
Defensive |
85
B
6099
|
|
Towson
6099
UMBC
6099
|
||
|
69
D+
|
SoS (Current) |
76
C
|
|
69
D+
|
SoS (Future) |
76
C
|
Towson
UMBC
| 206 | Overall | 186 |
| 232 | Power | 201 |
| 165 | Offensive | 253 |
| 296 | Defensive | 135 |
| 277 | SoS (Current) | 212 |
| 277 | SoS (Future) | 212 |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: UMBC 67%, Towson 33% at UMBC.
UMBC's win probability against Towson has held at 49% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
UMBC's win probability against Towson has held at 59% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
UMBC's win probability against Towson has held at 67% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Towson | Neutral | At UMBC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 28% | 36% | 45% |
| Wk 1 | 57% | 66% | 74% |
| Wk 2 | 54% | 63% | 72% |
| Wk 3 | 34% | 43% | 53% |
| Wk 4 | 28% | 36% | 45% |
| Wk 5 | 27% | 35% | 44% |
| Wk 6 | 32% | 41% | 50% |
| Wk 7 | 30% | 39% | 48% |
| Wk 8 | 33% | 41% | 51% |
| Wk 9 | 28% | 37% | 46% |
| Wk 10 | 33% | 42% | 51% |
| Wk 11 | 34% | 43% | 52% |
| Wk 12 | 41% | 50% | 59% |
| Wk 13 | 48% | 58% | 67% |
| Wk 14 | 49% | 58% | 67% |
| Wk 15 | 48% | 57% | 66% |
| Wk 16 | 47% | 56% | 65% |
| Wk 17 | 48% | 58% | 66% |
| Wk 18 | 48% | 58% | 67% |
| Wk 19 | 47% | 56% | 65% |
| Wk 20 | 48% | 57% | 66% |
| Wk 21 | 49% | 58% | 67% |
| Wk 22 | 49% | 58% | 67% |
| Wk 23 | 49% | 59% | 67% |
| Wk 24 | 49% | 59% | 67% |
Towson
UMBC
|
1-0 (100%) |
Head to Head |
0-1 (0%) |
|
16-14 (53.3%) |
Overall |
15-15 (50%) |
|
10-4 (71.4%) |
Home |
6-6 (50%) |
|
6-9 (40%) |
Away |
8-9 (47.1%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
8-9 (47.1%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
8-12 (40%) |
|
8-5 (61.5%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
7-3 (70%) |
|
5-5 (50%) |
Last 10 Games |
6-4 (60%) |
Towson
UMBC
| #165 Stetson | Best Win | #44 Virginia |
| #271 Hofstra | Worst Loss | #320 American Univ |
| 25 pts vs #317 Hampton | Largest MOV | 23 pts vs #334 MA Lowell |
| 44 pts vs #45 Virginia Tech | Largest MOD | 33 pts vs #19 Maryland |
Towson
UMBC
| 65.2 | Points per Game | 60 |
| 66.7 | Points Against | 59.9 |
| 66.3 | Home PPG | 59.9 |
| 61 | Home PA | 57.9 |
| 63.9 | Away PPG | 59.6 |
| 71.6 | Away PA | 62.1 |
| 437-479 | Opponent Record | 473-442 |
| 216.7 | Avg Opponent Rank | 195.5 |
| W 6 | Longest Streak | W 5 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
Towson
UMBC
| Mar 12 | Hofstra (10-22) | L71-72 | Mar 23 | at Marshall (27-9) | L53-66 |
| Mar 7 | vs Drexel (20-11) | W74-58 | Mar 19 | at Ohio (17-14) | W62-58 |
| Mar 5 | at Monmouth NJ (18-12) | L77-83 | Mar 9 | at Vermont (25-8) | L65-68 |
| Feb 27 | at Campbell (18-12) | W63-55 | Mar 5 | vs NJIT (19-13) | W66-65 |
| Feb 22 | vs Stony Brook (15-15) | W73-68 | Feb 28 | vs MA Lowell (5-21) | W66-43 |
| Feb 20 | vs Col Charleston (25-6) | L78-88 | Feb 26 | at Bryant (16-12) | W65-59 |
| Feb 15 | at William & Mary (16-14) | L70-75 | Feb 21 | at SUNY Albany (13-16) | L63-69 |
| Feb 13 | at Hampton (7-21) | W69-44 | Feb 19 | at Vermont (25-8) | W46-44 |
| Feb 8 | vs Northeastern (7-22) | W63-55 | Feb 14 | vs New Hampshire (8-20) | W61-44 |
| Feb 6 | vs William & Mary (16-14) | L51-52 | Feb 12 | vs Maine (19-13) | L55-56 |
vs
Women's College Basketball