Mt St Mary's at UMBC Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
UMBC by 10.74
TOTAL POINTS
119
UPDATED
Wednesday, October 28, 2026
See this week's WCBB predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
Mt St Mary's
UMBC 
|
69
D+
|
Overall |
79
C+
|
|
68
D+
|
Power |
77
C+
|
|
67
D+
|
Offensive |
72
C-
|
|
71
C-
|
Defensive |
85
B
|
|
|
SoS (Current) |
|
|
64
D
|
SoS (Full Season) |
72
C-
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
Mt St Mary's
UMBC
| 277 | Overall | 186 |
| 292 | Power | 201 |
| 295 | Offensive | 253 |
| 259 | Defensive | 135 |
| N/A | SoS (Current) | N/A |
| 329 | SoS (Full Season) | 255 |
UMBC#18676%
Mt St Mary's#27724%Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: UMBC 76%, Mt St Mary's 24% at UMBC.
UMBC's win probability against Mt St Mary's has held at 65% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
UMBC's win probability against Mt St Mary's has held at 70% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
UMBC's win probability against Mt St Mary's has held at 76% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
UMBC favored
Mt St Mary's favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At Mt St Mary's | Neutral | At UMBC |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 63% | 69% | 74% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 64% | 70% | 75% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 65% | 71% | 76% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 65% | 71% | 76% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 66% | 72% | 77% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 66% | 72% | 77% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 67% | 72% | 78% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 67% | 72% | 78% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 65% | 70% | 76% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
Mt St Mary's
UMBC
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
15-15 (50%) |
Overall |
15-15 (50%) |
|
9-5 (64.3%) |
Home |
6-6 (50%) |
|
6-9 (40%) |
Away |
8-9 (47.1%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
3-9 (25%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
8-12 (40%) |
|
12-6 (66.7%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
7-3 (70%) |
|
6-4 (60%) |
Last 10 Games |
6-4 (60%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
Mt St Mary's
UMBC
| #196 Lehigh | Best Win | #44 Virginia |
| #350 Canisius | Worst Loss | #320 American Univ |
| 29 pts vs #288 Mercyhurst | Largest MOV | 23 pts vs #334 MA Lowell |
| 48 pts vs #19 Maryland | Largest MOD | 33 pts vs #19 Maryland |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
Mt St Mary's
UMBC
| 60.1 | Points per Game | 60 |
| 62.4 | Points Against | 59.9 |
| 63.1 | Home PPG | 59.9 |
| 61.2 | Home PA | 57.9 |
| 58.1 | Away PPG | 59.6 |
| 63.5 | Away PA | 62.1 |
| 405-517 | Opponent Record | 473-442 |
| 258.2 | Avg Opponent Rank | 195.5 |
| W 4 | Longest Streak | W 5 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Mt St Mary's
UMBC
| Mar 7 | Merrimack (18-13) | L48-62 | Mar 23 | at Marshall (27-9) | L53-66 |
| Feb 28 | vs Rider (7-22) | W54-46 | Mar 19 | at Ohio (17-14) | W62-58 |
| Feb 26 | vs Sacred Heart (12-18) | W66-61 | Mar 9 | at Vermont (25-8) | L65-68 |
| Feb 21 | at Canisius (5-24) | L63-68 | Mar 5 | vs NJIT (19-13) | W66-65 |
| Feb 19 | at Niagara (1-28) | W76-57 | Feb 28 | vs MA Lowell (5-21) | W66-43 |
| Feb 12 | vs Fairfield (28-5) | L43-69 | Feb 26 | at Bryant (16-12) | W65-59 |
| Feb 7 | at Sacred Heart (12-18) | W68-63 | Feb 21 | at SUNY Albany (13-16) | L63-69 |
| Feb 5 | at Iona (19-12) | W63-62 | Feb 19 | at Vermont (25-8) | W46-44 |
| Jan 31 | vs St Peter's (6-23) | L61-73 | Feb 14 | vs New Hampshire (8-20) | W61-44 |
| Jan 29 | at Rider (7-22) | W70-59 | Feb 12 | vs Maine (19-13) | L55-56 |