Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: UC Irvine 71%, Idaho St 29% at UC Irvine.
UC Irvine's win probability against Idaho St has held at 59% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
UC Irvine's win probability against Idaho St has held at 65% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
UC Irvine's win probability against Idaho St has held at 71% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.