Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 2 (Nov 13), 2026-27: UMBC 78%, Towson 22% at a neutral site.
UMBC's win probability against Towson is trending up — from 51% to 73% over the last 6 updates.
UMBC's win probability against Towson is trending up — from 57% to 78% over the last 6 updates.
UMBC's win probability against Towson is trending up — from 63% to 83% over the last 6 updates.