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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 2 (Nov 14), 2026-27: UMBC 76%, Towson 24% at Towson.
UMBC's win probability against Towson is trending up — from 51% to 76% over the last 6 updates.
UMBC's win probability against Towson is trending up — from 57% to 80% over the last 6 updates.
UMBC's win probability against Towson is trending up — from 63% to 85% over the last 6 updates.