Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: Texas 82%, Vanderbilt 18% at Texas.
Texas' win probability against Vanderbilt has swung between 70% and 75% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 72% now.
Texas' win probability against Vanderbilt has swung between 75% and 80% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 77% now.
Texas' win probability against Vanderbilt has held at 82% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.