Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: Texas 92%, Tennessee 8% at Texas.
Texas' win probability against Tennessee has swung between 84% and 89% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 86% now.
Texas' win probability against Tennessee has held at 89% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Texas' win probability against Tennessee has held at 92% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.