North Carolina at Texas Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Texas by 20.9
TOTAL POINTS
133
UPDATED
Tuesday, April 7, 2026
RATINGS
North Carolina
Texas 
|
97
A+
|
Overall |
99
A+
|
|
97
A+
|
Power |
99
A+
|
|
96
A
|
Offensive |
99
A+
|
|
98
A+
|
Defensive |
99
A+
|
|
93
A-
|
SoS (Current) |
98
A+
|
|
93
A-
|
SoS (Future) |
98
A+
|
RANKINGS
North Carolina
Texas
| 15 | Overall | 3 |
| 19 | Power | 4 |
| 31 | Offensive | 4 |
| 11 | Defensive | 3 |
| 58 | SoS (Current) | 9 |
| 58 | SoS (Future) | 9 |
Texas#394%
North Carolina#156%Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Texas 94%, North Carolina 6% at Texas.
Texas' win probability against North Carolina has held at 88% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Texas' win probability against North Carolina has held at 92% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Texas' win probability against North Carolina has held at 94% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Texas favored
North Carolina favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At North Carolina | Neutral | At Texas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 77% | 83% | 88% |
| Wk 1 | 93% | 95% | 97% |
| Wk 2 | 94% | 96% | 97% |
| Wk 3 | 93% | 95% | 97% |
| Wk 4 | 92% | 94% | 96% |
| Wk 5 | 83% | 88% | 92% |
| Wk 6 | 84% | 89% | 92% |
| Wk 7 | 77% | 83% | 88% |
| Wk 8 | 83% | 88% | 92% |
| Wk 9 | 86% | 90% | 94% |
| Wk 10 | 85% | 90% | 93% |
| Wk 11 | 87% | 91% | 94% |
| Wk 12 | 88% | 92% | 95% |
| Wk 13 | 89% | 92% | 95% |
| Wk 14 | 88% | 92% | 95% |
| Wk 15 | 88% | 92% | 95% |
| Wk 16 | 84% | 89% | 93% |
| Wk 17 | 83% | 88% | 92% |
| Wk 18 | 86% | 90% | 93% |
| Wk 19 | 84% | 89% | 93% |
| Wk 20 | 85% | 90% | 93% |
| Wk 21 | 85% | 89% | 93% |
| Wk 22 | 86% | 90% | 94% |
| Wk 23 | 88% | 92% | 94% |
| Wk 24 | 88% | 92% | 94% |
RECORDS
North Carolina
Texas
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
28-8 (77.8%) |
Overall |
35-4 (89.7%) |
|
15-2 (88.2%) |
Home |
20-0 (100%) |
|
8-3 (72.7%) |
Away |
7-3 (70%) |
|
2-7 (22.2%) |
Versus Top 25 |
12-4 (75%) |
|
15-8 (65.2%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
28-4 (87.5%) |
|
13-0 (100%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
7-0 (100%) |
|
7-3 (70%) |
Last 10 Games |
9-1 (90%) |
SUPERLATIVES
North Carolina
Texas
| #9 Duke | Best Win | #1 UCLA |
| #62 Stanford | Worst Loss | #8 LSU |
| 52 pts vs #197 SMU | Largest MOV | 82 pts vs #343 SE Louisiana |
| 23 pts vs #17 Notre Dame | Largest MOD | 16 pts vs #7 Vanderbilt |
OTHER STATISTICS
North Carolina
Texas
| 74.6 | Points per Game | 83.9 |
| 59.1 | Points Against | 55.8 |
| 78.1 | Home PPG | 90.6 |
| 55.2 | Home PA | 50.4 |
| 71.5 | Away PPG | 78.7 |
| 60.2 | Away PA | 64.9 |
| 710-475 | Opponent Record | 854-453 |
| 113.5 | Avg Opponent Rank | 80.6 |
| W 8 | Longest Streak | W 18 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
North Carolina
Texas
| Mar 27 | #4 Connecticut (38-1) | L42-63 | Apr 3 | #1 UCLA (37-1) | L44-51 |
| Mar 22 | vs #19 Maryland (24-9) | W74-66 | Mar 30 | #5 Michigan (28-7) | W77-41 |
| Mar 20 | vs W Illinois (23-6) | W82-51 | Mar 28 | #18 Kentucky (25-11) | W76-54 |
| Mar 7 | #14 Louisville (29-8) | L57-65 | Mar 22 | vs Oregon (23-13) | W100-58 |
| Mar 6 | Virginia Tech (23-10) | W85-68 | Mar 20 | vs Missouri St (23-13) | W87-45 |
| Mar 1 | vs #9 Duke (27-9) | W74-69 | Mar 8 | #2 South Carolina (36-4) | W78-61 |
| Feb 26 | at Virginia (22-12) | W82-70 | Mar 7 | Mississippi (24-12) | W85-68 |
| Feb 22 | vs Pittsburgh (8-22) | W78-50 | Mar 6 | #23 Alabama (24-11) | W83-60 |
| Feb 19 | at Virginia Tech (23-10) | W66-63 | Mar 1 | at #23 Alabama (24-11) | W72-65 |
| Feb 15 | at #9 Duke (27-9) | L68-72 | Feb 26 | vs Georgia (22-10) | W79-50 |
