Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: Texas 80%, Louisville 20% at Texas.
Texas' win probability against Louisville has swung between 70% and 79% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 70% now.
Texas' win probability against Louisville has swung between 75% and 83% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 75% now.
Texas' win probability against Louisville has swung between 80% and 87% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 80% now.