Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: Illinois St 87%, Stonehill 13% at Stonehill.
Illinois St's win probability against Stonehill is trending down — from 91% to 87% over the last 6 updates.
Illinois St's win probability against Stonehill is trending down — from 93% to 90% over the last 6 updates.
Illinois St's win probability against Stonehill has held at 93% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.