Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Washington St
St Mary's CA
|
75
C
|
Overall |
77
C+
|
|
78
C+
|
Power |
81
B-
|
|
80
B-
6099
|
Offensive |
71
C-
6099
|
|
Washington St
6099
St Mary's CA
6099
|
||
|
74
C
6099
|
Defensive |
91
A-
6099
|
|
Washington St
6099
St Mary's CA
6099
|
||
|
91
A-
|
SoS (Current) |
83
B-
|
|
91
A-
|
SoS (Future) |
83
B-
|
Washington St
St Mary's CA
| 224 | Overall | 207 |
| 195 | Power | 166 |
| 173 | Offensive | 263 |
| 234 | Defensive | 75 |
| 78 | SoS (Current) | 151 |
| 78 | SoS (Future) | 151 |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: St Mary's CA 68%, Washington St 32% at St Mary's CA.
St Mary's CA's win probability against Washington St has held at 50% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
St Mary's CA's win probability against Washington St is trending down — from 62% to 59% over the last 6 weeks.
St Mary's CA's win probability against Washington St has held at 68% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Washington St | Neutral | At St Mary's CA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 20% | 27% | 35% |
| Wk 1 | 73% | 80% | 86% |
| Wk 2 | 46% | 55% | 64% |
| Wk 3 | 42% | 51% | 60% |
| Wk 4 | 54% | 63% | 72% |
| Wk 5 | 66% | 74% | 81% |
| Wk 6 | 46% | 56% | 65% |
| Wk 7 | 45% | 54% | 63% |
| Wk 8 | 41% | 50% | 59% |
| Wk 9 | 41% | 50% | 59% |
| Wk 10 | 42% | 52% | 61% |
| Wk 11 | 45% | 54% | 63% |
| Wk 12 | 46% | 56% | 65% |
| Wk 13 | 48% | 57% | 66% |
| Wk 14 | 46% | 55% | 64% |
| Wk 15 | 50% | 59% | 68% |
| Wk 16 | 50% | 59% | 68% |
| Wk 17 | 54% | 63% | 72% |
| Wk 18 | 52% | 62% | 70% |
| Wk 19 | 50% | 59% | 68% |
| Wk 20 | 49% | 59% | 68% |
| Wk 21 | 50% | 59% | 68% |
| Wk 22 | 50% | 59% | 68% |
| Wk 23 | 50% | 59% | 68% |
| Wk 24 | 50% | 59% | 68% |
Washington St
St Mary's CA
|
2-0 (100%) |
Head to Head |
0-2 (0%) |
|
9-25 (26.5%) |
Overall |
13-17 (43.3%) |
|
3-11 (21.4%) |
Home |
5-7 (41.7%) |
|
3-10 (23.1%) |
Away |
8-7 (53.3%) |
|
0-2 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
2-23 (8%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
2-13 (13.3%) |
|
7-2 (77.8%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
11-4 (73.3%) |
|
5-5 (50%) |
Last 10 Games |
2-8 (20%) |
Washington St
St Mary's CA
| #60 Miami OH | Best Win | #132 Pepperdine |
| #236 E Washington | Worst Loss | #250 San Diego |
| 22 pts vs #341 Seattle | Largest MOV | 27 pts vs #341 Seattle |
| 77 pts vs #8 LSU | Largest MOD | 46 pts vs #28 USC |
Washington St
St Mary's CA
| 63.6 | Points per Game | 59.1 |
| 73.2 | Points Against | 60.4 |
| 66 | Home PPG | 62.5 |
| 73.2 | Home PA | 60.8 |
| 61.5 | Away PPG | 56.3 |
| 73.2 | Away PA | 58.6 |
| 608-477 | Opponent Record | 425-524 |
| 133.9 | Avg Opponent Rank | 176.9 |
| L 6 | Longest Streak | L 5 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 5 |
Washington St
St Mary's CA
| Mar 7 | Portland (18-15) | L62-72 | Mar 5 | San Diego (10-22) | L62-66 |
| Mar 6 | Pacific (10-19) | W82-76 | Feb 28 | at Washington St (9-25) | L50-57 |
| Mar 5 | Seattle (3-25) | W80-58 | Feb 26 | at Gonzaga (24-10) | L67-75 |
| Feb 28 | vs St Mary's CA (13-17) | W57-50 | Feb 21 | vs San Francisco (18-15) | L60-61 |
| Feb 26 | vs Seattle (3-25) | W69-55 | Feb 19 | at Santa Clara (22-10) | L55-63 |
| Feb 21 | at Oregon St (21-12) | L51-79 | Feb 16 | vs Seattle (3-25) | W86-59 |
| Feb 19 | at Gonzaga (24-10) | L50-75 | Feb 12 | vs Pacific (10-19) | L53-56 |
| Feb 12 | vs Portland (18-15) | L61-68 | Feb 7 | at San Francisco (18-15) | W72-55 |
| Feb 7 | at Pepperdine (19-13) | L62-78 | Feb 5 | vs Loy Marymount (20-10) | L69-75 |
| Feb 5 | at San Diego (10-22) | W80-76 | Jan 29 | at Portland (18-15) | L42-68 |
vs
Women's College Basketball