Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: St Mary's CA 85%, San Jose St 15% at St Mary's CA.
St Mary's CA's win probability against San Jose St is trending down — from 80% to 76% over the last 6 updates.
St Mary's CA's win probability against San Jose St is trending down — from 84% to 81% over the last 6 updates.
St Mary's CA's win probability against San Jose St has held at 85% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.