Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: St John's 96%, New Haven 4% at St John's.
St John's' win probability against New Haven is trending down — from 96% to 93% over the last 6 updates.
St John's' win probability against New Haven has held at 95% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
St John's' win probability against New Haven has held at 96% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.