Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: Southern Utah 79%, Portland St 21% at Southern Utah.
Southern Utah's win probability against Portland St is trending down — from 72% to 68% over the last 6 updates.
Southern Utah's win probability against Portland St is trending down — from 77% to 74% over the last 6 updates.
Southern Utah's win probability against Portland St has held at 79% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.