Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: Montana St 74%, Southern Utah 26% at Southern Utah.
Montana St's win probability against Southern Utah is trending down — from 78% to 74% over the last 6 updates.
Montana St's win probability against Southern Utah is trending down — from 82% to 79% over the last 6 updates.
Montana St's win probability against Southern Utah has held at 84% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.