Arkansas St at Southern Miss Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Arkansas St by 7.21
TOTAL POINTS
150
UPDATED
Wednesday, October 28, 2026
See this week's WCBB predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
Southern Miss
Arkansas St 
|
78
C+
|
Overall |
90
A-
|
|
80
B-
|
Power |
90
A-
|
|
90
A-
|
Offensive |
93
A-
|
|
66
D
|
Defensive |
82
B-
|
|
|
SoS (Current) |
|
|
86
B
|
SoS (Full Season) |
87
B+
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
Southern Miss
Arkansas St
| 194 | Overall | 83 |
| 178 | Power | 81 |
| 84 | Offensive | 61 |
| 309 | Defensive | 161 |
| N/A | SoS (Current) | N/A |
| 124 | SoS (Full Season) | 110 |
Arkansas St#8368%
Southern Miss#19432%Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: Arkansas St 68%, Southern Miss 32% at Southern Miss.
Arkansas St's win probability against Southern Miss has held at 68% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Arkansas St's win probability against Southern Miss has held at 74% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Arkansas St's win probability against Southern Miss has held at 79% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Arkansas St favored
Southern Miss favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At Southern Miss | Neutral | At Arkansas St |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 66% | 72% | 77% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 68% | 74% | 79% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 70% | 75% | 80% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 69% | 74% | 79% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 68% | 74% | 79% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 70% | 75% | 80% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 71% | 76% | 81% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 71% | 76% | 81% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 68% | 74% | 79% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
Southern Miss
Arkansas St
|
0-2 (0%) |
Head to Head |
2-0 (100%) |
|
13-16 (44.8%) |
Overall |
26-10 (72.2%) |
|
8-5 (61.5%) |
Home |
14-3 (82.4%) |
|
5-8 (38.5%) |
Away |
9-6 (60%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
3-11 (21.4%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
8-9 (47.1%) |
|
10-5 (66.7%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
18-1 (94.7%) |
|
4-6 (40%) |
Last 10 Games |
7-3 (70%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
Southern Miss
Arkansas St
| #68 Troy | Best Win | #49 James Madison |
| #244 Appalachian St | Worst Loss | #212 E Michigan |
| 33 pts vs #343 SE Louisiana | Largest MOV | 41 pts vs #311 Louisiana |
| 54 pts vs #31 NC State | Largest MOD | 23 pts vs #144 Cent Arkansas |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
Southern Miss
Arkansas St
| 72.4 | Points per Game | 75.8 |
| 75 | Points Against | 66.8 |
| 76.8 | Home PPG | 74.9 |
| 72.2 | Home PA | 60.9 |
| 69.3 | Away PPG | 76.7 |
| 73.9 | Away PA | 73.2 |
| 445-462 | Opponent Record | 575-550 |
| 175.7 | Avg Opponent Rank | 167.3 |
| W 4 | Longest Streak | W 11 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Southern Miss
Arkansas St
| Mar 5 | ULM (16-16) | L72-89 | Apr 1 | vs Marshall (27-9) | L62-69 |
| Feb 27 | at ULM (16-16) | W68-61 | Mar 30 | vs Cleveland St (24-10) | W71-53 |
| Feb 25 | at South Alabama (17-19) | L43-57 | Mar 27 | vs PFW (20-14) | W83-72 |
| Feb 21 | at Troy (24-8) | L80-97 | Mar 23 | vs Radford (21-13) | W83-52 |
| Feb 18 | at Louisiana (4-25) | W83-61 | Mar 8 | Troy (24-8) | L73-83 |
| Feb 14 | vs Texas St (9-19) | W86-77 | Mar 7 | ULM (16-16) | W76-68 |
| Feb 12 | vs ULM (16-16) | L62-85 | Feb 27 | vs Texas St (9-19) | W87-53 |
| Feb 7 | at Toledo (16-15) | L67-76 | Feb 24 | vs Troy (24-8) | L54-61 |
| Feb 4 | vs James Madison (26-9) | L72-83 | Feb 21 | at Louisiana (4-25) | W92-66 |
| Jan 30 | at Old Dominion (17-14) | W86-83 | Feb 18 | at Texas St (9-19) | W75-61 |