Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: San Diego St 89%, Texas St 11% at San Diego St.
San Diego St's win probability against Texas St is trending down — from 85% to 82% over the last 6 updates.
San Diego St's win probability against Texas St is trending down — from 89% to 86% over the last 6 updates.
San Diego St's win probability against Texas St has held at 89% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.