Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: San Diego St 78%, Fresno St 22% at San Diego St.
San Diego St's win probability against Fresno St has held at 68% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
San Diego St's win probability against Fresno St is trending down — from 76% to 73% over the last 6 updates.
San Diego St's win probability against Fresno St has held at 78% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.