Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: TN Martin 50%, Samford 50% at Samford.
TN Martin's win probability against Samford has held at 50% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
TN Martin's win probability against Samford is trending down — from 59% to 56% over the last 6 updates.
TN Martin's win probability against Samford has held at 63% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.