Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
SUNY Albany
UMBC
|
73
C-
|
Overall |
79
C+
|
|
77
C+
|
Power |
77
C+
|
|
67
D+
6099
|
Offensive |
72
C-
6099
|
|
SUNY Albany
6099
UMBC
6099
|
||
|
90
A-
6099
|
Defensive |
85
B
6099
|
|
SUNY Albany
6099
UMBC
6099
|
||
|
72
C-
|
SoS (Current) |
76
C
|
|
72
C-
|
SoS (Future) |
76
C
|
SUNY Albany
UMBC
| 242 | Overall | 186 |
| 204 | Power | 201 |
| 300 | Offensive | 253 |
| 84 | Defensive | 135 |
| 250 | SoS (Current) | 212 |
| 250 | SoS (Future) | 212 |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: SUNY Albany 58%, UMBC 42% at SUNY Albany.
SUNY Albany's win probability against UMBC is trending down — from 43% to 40% over the last 6 weeks.
SUNY Albany's win probability against UMBC is trending down — from 52% to 49% over the last 6 weeks.
SUNY Albany's win probability against UMBC is trending down — from 61% to 58% over the last 6 weeks.
| Week | At UMBC | Neutral | At SUNY Albany |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 82% | 87% | 91% |
| Wk 1 | 79% | 85% | 90% |
| Wk 2 | 45% | 55% | 64% |
| Wk 3 | 71% | 78% | 85% |
| Wk 4 | 75% | 82% | 87% |
| Wk 5 | 80% | 86% | 90% |
| Wk 6 | 64% | 73% | 80% |
| Wk 7 | 67% | 75% | 82% |
| Wk 8 | 65% | 73% | 80% |
| Wk 9 | 69% | 76% | 83% |
| Wk 10 | 66% | 74% | 81% |
| Wk 11 | 64% | 72% | 79% |
| Wk 12 | 56% | 65% | 74% |
| Wk 13 | 51% | 60% | 69% |
| Wk 14 | 51% | 61% | 69% |
| Wk 15 | 47% | 57% | 66% |
| Wk 16 | 48% | 57% | 66% |
| Wk 17 | 46% | 55% | 64% |
| Wk 18 | 43% | 52% | 61% |
| Wk 19 | 42% | 51% | 61% |
| Wk 20 | 41% | 51% | 60% |
| Wk 21 | 41% | 50% | 59% |
| Wk 22 | 41% | 50% | 59% |
| Wk 23 | 40% | 49% | 58% |
| Wk 24 | 40% | 49% | 58% |
SUNY Albany
UMBC
|
1-1 (50%) |
Head to Head |
1-1 (50%) |
|
13-16 (44.8%) |
Overall |
15-15 (50%) |
|
8-5 (61.5%) |
Home |
6-6 (50%) |
|
5-11 (31.3%) |
Away |
8-9 (47.1%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
4-13 (23.5%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
8-12 (40%) |
|
9-3 (75%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
7-3 (70%) |
|
3-7 (30%) |
Last 10 Games |
6-4 (60%) |
SUNY Albany
UMBC
| #168 Binghamton | Best Win | #44 Virginia |
| #334 MA Lowell | Worst Loss | #320 American Univ |
| 28 pts vs #306 Marist | Largest MOV | 23 pts vs #334 MA Lowell |
| 29 pts vs #7 Vanderbilt | Largest MOD | 33 pts vs #19 Maryland |
SUNY Albany
UMBC
| 56.3 | Points per Game | 60 |
| 55.7 | Points Against | 59.9 |
| 60.8 | Home PPG | 59.9 |
| 53.6 | Home PA | 57.9 |
| 52.6 | Away PPG | 59.6 |
| 57.3 | Away PA | 62.1 |
| 450-430 | Opponent Record | 473-442 |
| 206.1 | Avg Opponent Rank | 195.5 |
| W 6 | Longest Streak | W 5 |
| L 3 | Current Streak | L 1 |
SUNY Albany
UMBC
| Mar 5 | at Vermont (25-8) | L40-55 | Mar 23 | at Marshall (27-9) | L53-66 |
| Feb 28 | at New Hampshire (8-20) | L42-45 | Mar 19 | at Ohio (17-14) | W62-58 |
| Feb 26 | at Maine (19-13) | L59-60 | Mar 9 | at Vermont (25-8) | L65-68 |
| Feb 21 | vs UMBC (15-15) | W69-63 | Mar 5 | vs NJIT (19-13) | W66-65 |
| Feb 19 | vs NJIT (19-13) | L64-70 | Feb 28 | vs MA Lowell (5-21) | W66-43 |
| Feb 14 | vs Binghamton (18-13) | W52-41 | Feb 26 | at Bryant (16-12) | W65-59 |
| Feb 7 | at MA Lowell (5-21) | L45-58 | Feb 21 | at SUNY Albany (13-16) | L63-69 |
| Feb 5 | vs Bryant (16-12) | L44-50 | Feb 19 | at Vermont (25-8) | W46-44 |
| Jan 31 | at UMBC (15-15) | L46-55 | Feb 14 | vs New Hampshire (8-20) | W61-44 |
| Jan 29 | at NJIT (19-13) | W71-54 | Feb 12 | vs Maine (19-13) | L55-56 |
vs
Women's College Basketball