Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: Portland 64%, St Mary's CA 36% at Portland.
Portland's win probability against St Mary's CA has held at 51% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Portland's win probability against St Mary's CA is trending down — from 60% to 57% over the last 6 updates.
Portland's win probability against St Mary's CA has held at 64% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.