Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Portland St
Montana
|
64
D
|
Overall |
70
C-
|
|
66
D
|
Power |
70
C-
|
|
75
C
6099
|
Offensive |
74
C
6099
|
|
Portland St
6099
Montana
6099
|
||
|
63
D-
6099
|
Defensive |
68
D+
6099
|
|
Portland St
6099
Montana
6099
|
||
|
75
C
|
SoS (Current) |
84
B
|
|
75
C
|
SoS (Future) |
84
B
|
Portland St
Montana
| 330 | Overall | 273 |
| 307 | Power | 268 |
| 224 | Offensive | 230 |
| 337 | Defensive | 285 |
| 227 | SoS (Current) | 144 |
| 227 | SoS (Future) | 144 |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Montana 55%, Portland St 45% at Portland St.
Montana's win probability against Portland St is trending up — from 49% to 55% over the last 6 weeks.
Montana's win probability against Portland St is trending up — from 58% to 64% over the last 6 weeks.
Montana's win probability against Portland St is trending up — from 67% to 72% over the last 6 weeks.
| Week | At Portland St | Neutral | At Montana |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 75% | 82% | 87% |
| Wk 1 | 57% | 66% | 74% |
| Wk 2 | 64% | 72% | 79% |
| Wk 3 | 80% | 86% | 90% |
| Wk 4 | 59% | 68% | 76% |
| Wk 5 | 68% | 75% | 82% |
| Wk 6 | 65% | 73% | 80% |
| Wk 7 | 71% | 79% | 85% |
| Wk 8 | 66% | 74% | 81% |
| Wk 9 | 67% | 75% | 82% |
| Wk 10 | 53% | 62% | 71% |
| Wk 11 | 49% | 59% | 67% |
| Wk 12 | 50% | 59% | 68% |
| Wk 13 | 57% | 66% | 74% |
| Wk 14 | 59% | 68% | 76% |
| Wk 15 | 55% | 64% | 73% |
| Wk 16 | 56% | 65% | 74% |
| Wk 17 | 54% | 63% | 72% |
| Wk 18 | 49% | 58% | 67% |
| Wk 19 | 55% | 64% | 72% |
| Wk 20 | 55% | 64% | 72% |
| Wk 21 | 55% | 64% | 72% |
| Wk 22 | 55% | 64% | 72% |
| Wk 23 | 55% | 64% | 72% |
| Wk 24 | 55% | 64% | 72% |
Portland St
Montana
|
0-2 (0%) |
Head to Head |
2-0 (100%) |
|
5-25 (16.7%) |
Overall |
8-22 (26.7%) |
|
4-10 (28.6%) |
Home |
2-10 (16.7%) |
|
1-14 (6.7%) |
Away |
4-10 (28.6%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
0-14 (0%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
1-14 (6.7%) |
|
5-11 (31.3%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
7-8 (46.7%) |
|
1-9 (10%) |
Last 10 Games |
2-8 (20%) |
Portland St
Montana
| #230 CS Sacramento | Best Win | #156 Idaho St |
| #293 Utah Tech | Worst Loss | #281 Northern Arizona |
| 23 pts vs #341 Seattle | Largest MOV | 30 pts vs #324 North Dakota |
| 48 pts vs #76 Montana St | Largest MOD | 43 pts vs #29 Oregon |
Portland St
Montana
| 62.9 | Points per Game | 61.4 |
| 75.5 | Points Against | 72.4 |
| 64.6 | Home PPG | 60.8 |
| 73.6 | Home PA | 70.8 |
| 61.9 | Away PPG | 59.6 |
| 77.2 | Away PA | 71.6 |
| 443-484 | Opponent Record | 480-459 |
| 199.3 | Avg Opponent Rank | 175.5 |
| L 9 | Longest Streak | L 7 |
| L 8 | Current Streak | L 1 |
Portland St
Montana
| Mar 7 | Weber St (8-22) | L53-76 | Mar 8 | Montana St (25-8) | L57-78 |
| Mar 2 | at Weber St (8-22) | L52-81 | Mar 7 | Northern Arizona (8-22) | W61-60 |
| Feb 28 | vs Montana (8-22) | L53-55 | Mar 2 | vs N Colorado (20-11) | L59-61 |
| Feb 26 | vs Montana St (25-8) | L63-66 | Feb 28 | at Portland St (5-25) | W55-53 |
| Feb 21 | at E Washington (13-18) | L78-87 | Feb 26 | at CS Sacramento (13-18) | L57-75 |
| Feb 19 | at Idaho (27-6) | L66-86 | Feb 21 | vs Weber St (8-22) | L79-86 |
| Feb 14 | vs N Colorado (20-11) | L57-71 | Feb 19 | vs Idaho St (18-11) | L54-71 |
| Feb 12 | vs Northern Arizona (8-22) | L80-88 | Feb 14 | vs Montana St (25-8) | L55-72 |
| Feb 7 | vs CS Sacramento (13-18) | W64-62 | Feb 7 | at Idaho (27-6) | L65-89 |
| Feb 2 | at Idaho St (18-11) | L57-69 | Feb 5 | at E Washington (13-18) | L72-76 |
vs
Women's College Basketball