Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
W Michigan
Ohio
|
71
C-
|
Overall |
82
B-
|
|
70
C-
|
Power |
82
B-
|
|
64
D
6099
|
Offensive |
91
A-
6099
|
|
W Michigan
6099
Ohio
6099
|
||
|
83
B-
6099
|
Defensive |
67
D+
6099
|
|
W Michigan
6099
Ohio
6099
|
||
|
80
B-
|
SoS (Current) |
82
B-
|
|
80
B-
|
SoS (Future) |
82
B-
|
W Michigan
Ohio
| 263 | Overall | 158 |
| 266 | Power | 156 |
| 322 | Offensive | 74 |
| 153 | Defensive | 299 |
| 174 | SoS (Current) | 163 |
| 174 | SoS (Future) | 163 |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Ohio 84%, W Michigan 16% at Ohio.
Ohio's win probability against W Michigan has held at 71% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Ohio's win probability against W Michigan has held at 78% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Ohio's win probability against W Michigan has held at 84% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At W Michigan | Neutral | At Ohio |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 18% | 24% | 32% |
| Wk 1 | 48% | 58% | 67% |
| Wk 2 | 63% | 71% | 79% |
| Wk 3 | 52% | 61% | 69% |
| Wk 4 | 56% | 65% | 73% |
| Wk 5 | 75% | 82% | 87% |
| Wk 6 | 72% | 79% | 85% |
| Wk 7 | 61% | 70% | 78% |
| Wk 8 | 66% | 74% | 81% |
| Wk 9 | 70% | 77% | 83% |
| Wk 10 | 72% | 80% | 85% |
| Wk 11 | 73% | 80% | 86% |
| Wk 12 | 70% | 77% | 84% |
| Wk 13 | 76% | 82% | 88% |
| Wk 14 | 71% | 79% | 85% |
| Wk 15 | 76% | 83% | 88% |
| Wk 16 | 74% | 81% | 86% |
| Wk 17 | 72% | 79% | 85% |
| Wk 18 | 70% | 78% | 84% |
| Wk 19 | 73% | 80% | 86% |
| Wk 20 | 71% | 78% | 84% |
| Wk 21 | 70% | 78% | 84% |
| Wk 22 | 71% | 78% | 84% |
| Wk 23 | 71% | 78% | 84% |
| Wk 24 | 71% | 78% | 84% |
W Michigan
Ohio
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
9-19 (32.1%) |
Overall |
17-14 (54.8%) |
|
5-8 (38.5%) |
Home |
9-7 (56.3%) |
|
4-11 (26.7%) |
Away |
7-6 (53.8%) |
|
0-2 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
0-13 (0%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
6-9 (40%) |
|
9-6 (60%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
11-5 (68.8%) |
|
3-7 (30%) |
Last 10 Games |
5-5 (50%) |
W Michigan
Ohio
| #162 Loyola-Chicago | Best Win | #60 Miami OH |
| #305 N Illinois | Worst Loss | #295 Akron |
| 18 pts vs #339 Buffalo | Largest MOV | 39 pts vs #263 W Michigan |
| 54 pts vs #22 Michigan St | Largest MOD | 28 pts vs #60 Miami OH |
W Michigan
Ohio
| 55.8 | Points per Game | 73 |
| 65 | Points Against | 71.4 |
| 58.7 | Home PPG | 72.9 |
| 62.2 | Home PA | 68.7 |
| 53.2 | Away PPG | 73.5 |
| 67.4 | Away PA | 72.8 |
| 399-456 | Opponent Record | 466-474 |
| 181.6 | Avg Opponent Rank | 178.7 |
| L 5 | Longest Streak | W 4 |
| L 3 | Current Streak | L 2 |
W Michigan
Ohio
| Mar 7 | at Kent (13-16) | L60-67 | Mar 19 | vs UMBC (15-15) | L58-62 |
| Mar 4 | vs Toledo (16-15) | L49-56 | Mar 13 | Miami OH (26-7) | L52-80 |
| Feb 28 | vs Massachusetts (23-7) | L48-64 | Mar 11 | C Michigan (17-12) | W89-88 |
| Feb 25 | at Buffalo (3-27) | W58-43 | Mar 7 | vs Miami OH (26-7) | W77-62 |
| Feb 21 | vs N Illinois (7-23) | W65-60 | Mar 4 | at E Michigan (12-16) | W62-54 |
| Feb 18 | at Bowling Green (13-14) | L63-67 | Feb 28 | at Ball St (25-7) | L85-86 |
| Feb 14 | at C Michigan (17-12) | L67-70 | Feb 25 | vs Bowling Green (13-14) | L56-60 |
| Feb 10 | vs Miami OH (26-7) | L55-60 | Feb 18 | at Akron (5-24) | L105-108 |
| Feb 7 | vs South Alabama (17-19) | W73-67 | Feb 14 | vs Kent (13-16) | W71-61 |
| Feb 4 | at Ohio (17-14) | L37-76 | Feb 10 | at Toledo (16-15) | W71-67 |
vs
Women's College Basketball